Two cheers for Darling
Here it is then. The long-trailed, politically critical response to the crisis. What is the verdict?
Let’s start with the positive. Given the scale of the tax giveaway, and the tightness of Government spending, housing could have got missed out. After all, many other areas of public spending got nothing at all – indeed, the commitment to achieving a further £5 billion of Gershon savings probably signals bad news for some. The fact that housing was a major theme is a really good sign that, at long last, the issue is back at the heart of British politics.
And there is some good news in there. The measures to support home owners are sensible enough: a rise in the threshold and interest rate payable for ISMI; an agreement with the lenders to delay repossessions action; an increase to the scope of the mortgage rescue package; £15 million more for debt advice. The moves to push new social housebuilding are also welcome, with nearly £800 million spend brought forward and a promise of more to come. Altogether, it is difficult to quibble with an £1.8 billion total.
That said, there is much in here which is as much presentation as substance. Take the agreement with lenders to wait three months before taking action on repossessions. That sounds like a good thing, and indeed it is. But in practice, few lenders actually rush straight to court on only one or two months arrears. It is only when arrears reach three months when they begin moves to repossess. The new promise may help at the margins but will do little to address the generality of repossessions.
And the moves to increase spending on social housebuilding raise similar questions. In his statement, the Chancellor was careful not to promise an increase in overall spending, merely a bringing forward of spend. We were already facing a drop off in investment in social housing towards the end of the three year spending period. This new move will help matters now but is no substitute for an increase in the overall social housing package between now and 2011.
Let me repeat. This is welcome news. But if the Government had moved to amend the banking bill to beef up the watered-down pre-action protocol; if it had announced a real increase in social housing grant; if it had come up with real moves to stimulate investment in expanding and professionalising private renting – it could have been so much more.
